Download Agent-Based Computational Demography: Using Simulation to by Francesco C. Billari, Alexia Prskawetz PDF

Demography

By Francesco C. Billari, Alexia Prskawetz

ISBN-10: 3790815500

ISBN-13: 9783790815504

Agent-Based Computational Demography (ABCD) goals at beginning a brand new movement of analysis between social scientists whose pursuits lie in knowing demographic behaviour. The e-book takes a micro-demographic (agent-based) standpoint and illustrates the possibilities of machine simulation as an relief in concept development. The chapters of the booklet, written by way of best specialists both in demography or in agent-based modelling, handle numerous key questions. Why will we want agent-based computational demography? How can ABCD be utilized to the research of migrations, relations demography, and old demography? What are the peculiarities of agent-based versions as utilized to the demography of human populations? ABCD is of curiosity to all scientists drawn to learning demographic behaviour, in addition to to machine scientists and modellers who're searching for a promising box of application.

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Extra resources for Agent-Based Computational Demography: Using Simulation to Improve Our Understanding of Demographic Behaviour

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2]. 38 Burch, T. K. by definition. Otherwise, the model cann ot serve as what Cartwright terms a nomo logical machin e; it cannot generate impli cations or predictions that follow in strict logic from the model assumptions and structure. The idea of necessary relationships in our mathematical models in demography and contingent relationships in our theoretical models needs re-examination. A final distinction that is breaking down is that between theory and modelling . Older texts on mathematical modelling and on social theory (as always , economics is an exception) have tended to occupy different worlds .

The contingency and un iqueness of these event chains mean that a simple fixed effect of divorce on attitudes is very unlikely. Indeed, as Bongaa rts and Watkins [4] argue , the absen ce of reliable "fixed effects" explanations for the fertility transi tion is what caused them to con sider the import ance of social interact ion. Equally importantl y, the dynamic view of cause and effect also breaks down the simpl e distinction between "causally" relevant events and others. It is no longer possible to con sider only the fixed effect of divorce on attitudes.

1958): Population Growth and Economic Development in Low-Incom e Countries. Princeton University Press, Prince ton 14. J. ( 1986): The Decline of Fertility in Europe. Princeton University Press, Princet on 15. B. ( 1992) : Mathematical Modeling in the Life Scien ces. Elli s Horwood, New York 16. , Hamson, M. ( 1989): Guid e to Mathemati cal Modell ing. CRC Pre ss, Boca Raton, FI 17. Feene y, G. (1994) : Fertility decl ine in East Asia. Scien ce 266, 1518-1523 18. Friedman, M. (1953 ): The metho dology of positive economics.

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